May 3, 2023

Options Expiration vs. Exercising Options: Common Misconceptions

If you have spent any time researching trading schools or trading signal services, you undoubtedly have come across many that claim that buying options is a proposition that loses up to 90% of the time and thus you should always take the other side and sell options.  Sound great right?  Problem is that these claims are based on false premises.  Here is just one of the quotes I have found out there:

 “Over 75% of all options held until expiration expire worthlessly . . . That’s why you should do what the pros do and sell options to other people. After all, if most of them will expire worthlessly, why not collect some money for them today while they still have value?”

Here’s how the numbers break down according to the OCC (Options Clearing Corporation):

According to historical OCC statistics for the year 2015 (for activity in customer and firm accounts), the breakdown is as follows: 

  • Position closed by selling the option: 71.3%
  • Exercised: 7.0%
  • Held and allowed to expire worthless: 21.7%
This data from the OCC is accurate. So why do so many people believe that 90% of options expire worthlessly? Basically, it is a mistake in logical thinking.
 
It’s worth noting that open interest is measured only once each day. Let’s look at a simple example: Assume that a specific option has an open interest (OI) of 100 and that 70 of those options are closed prior to expiration. That leaves an OI of 30. If 7 are exercised and 23 expire worthless, then 77% of the open interest (as of the morning of expiration day) expires worthless. Those who do not understand this subtlety claim that so much of the open interest expires worthless.
 
The important thing to remember is that buying options have its time and place and selling options have its time and place.  Painting yourself into one corner or the other is a fool’s errand.
 

about the author:

Mike Shorr

Since 1994, Michael has been an on-the-floor market maker, Vice-President of Interest Rate Derivatives for Knight Financial Products and Director of Education and Options Instructor at Trading Advantage. He makes the oftentimes complex world of options and trading accessible to the novice and advanced trader alike. Michael has a Bachelor of Science degree in Statistics and Finance from the University of Illinois Champaign-Urbana. He presently is Director, Trader Education at ProsperTradingAcademy.

Read Similar Articles

June 1, 2026

How A Vertical Call Spread Helped Scott Play A Post-Earnings Rebound

I recently closed a winning live trade signal in Arista Networks Inc. (ANET). The trade ran over the course of a few days, and I set it up using one of my favorite options strategies. I’ll walk you through how the trade unfolded, what the final results showed, and the options strategy I used to […]

Read Article
May 13, 2026

Risk Reversals: When The Market Flips The Script

Many options traders focus on one direction at a time. However, risk reversals can force you to focus on two directions simultaneously. Buy a call. Buy a put. Maybe sell a covered call against something you already own. That’s exactly what makes them so powerful…and dangerous, if you don’t know what you’re doing. I’ll walk […]

Read Article
May 10, 2026

Understanding Vega Risk: Are You Exposed?

Most options traders know Delta. Some know Theta. There’s one Greek that quietly erodes your position, often before you even realize what happened. It’s called Vega, and if you’re not paying attention to it, you could be trading with a blind spot. What Vega Actually Is Vega measures how much the price of an option […]

Read Article

Read Similar Articles

June 5, 2026

Bitcoin Dethroned: Is a Replacement on the Horizon?

Bitcoin has been under serious pressure in 2026. Year-to-date, it’s down over 31%. When a prominent asset like Bitcoin falls this hard, one question always comes to mind: Is something else about to take its place? It’s a debate that resurfaces every time Bitcoin stumbles…and so far, its resilience has proven doubters wrong… But could […]

Read Article
June 5, 2026

The Market Is Sending a Signal Many Traders Are Missing

There are moments in the market that demand attention; not because of what’s happening on the surface, but because of what’s brewing underneath. Right now, one of those moments could be unfolding. It’s a disconnect that Scott Bauer says is unlike anything he’s seen in his 30+ years of trading. Scott explained what he’s seeing […]

Read Article
June 3, 2026

Charlie Moon Sees a Quiet Rotation Building in These Stocks

Semiconductors have dominated the conversation for months. However, Charlie Moon believes the next big opportunity is forming in a part of the market where most traders aren’t really looking. On the Schwab Network this week, he laid out a case for a group of stocks that were quietly left behind during the semiconductor rally, and […]

Read Article