July 31, 2019

Why Don’t VIX Options Move In Step With the Underlying Futures?

Today is a great day to talk about the VIX.  It can be confusing.

The VIX index and futures are connected by a statistical relationship that depends on how fast the VIX tends to move toward its average level, the volatility of the index and how much time is left until expiration. Near expiration, the futures will be close to the index and move in tandem with it, while the long-term futures reflect the long-term expectation of VIX plus risk-premium.

VIX futures have a dynamic relationship with the index, just like options are related to their underlying stock by delta. Traders know that VIX futures do not always follow the index.  However, because of the dynamic nature of this relationship, the correlation evolves over time and cannot be quantified with a single number.

Close to expiration, the futures will move right in sync with the index. When futures expire in a month (about 25 trading days), the futures will move about half as much as the index. Futures that expire in 125 trading days or more have virtually no correlation to the index. The exact relationship is, of course, dynamic and changes.

The relationship has other intuitive properties. For example, delta gets smaller as the index increases. This is the result of mean-reversion; futures will move up more when the VIX is below its long-term average and less if it is above it. If the parameters indicate that futures are strongly mean-reverting, the delta will be smaller because the current level matters less than its long-term level; if mean-reversion is weak, the delta will be greater because futures will be more sensitive to the current index level.

Source:  www.futuresmag.com

Follow me on Twitter @MikeShorrCbot

about the author:

Mike Shorr

Since 1994, Michael has been an on-the-floor market maker, Vice-President of Interest Rate Derivatives for Knight Financial Products and Director of Education and Options Instructor at Trading Advantage. He makes the oftentimes complex world of options and trading accessible to the novice and advanced trader alike. Michael has a Bachelor of Science degree in Statistics and Finance from the University of Illinois Champaign-Urbana. He presently is Director, Trader Education at ProsperTradingAcademy.

Read Similar Articles

May 8, 2024

What Is Delta In Options Trading?

Understanding the Delta of an option is crucial for both new and seasoned traders. It’s one of five specific calculations called “Greeks,” which help measure specific factors that could influence the price of an options contract. Delta is a metric that helps you gauge how much the value of an option contract is expected to […]

Read Article
January 4, 2024

Funder Trading Review – Best Prop Trading Firm in 2024?

If you are actively trading in the stock market in 2024, chances are you’ve heard a new buzzword flying around: Prop Trading, short for Proprietary Trading. Whether you’ve tried prop trading or not – or have even heard of it at all – its popularity is quickly growing because it provides everyday traders with a […]

Read Article
September 26, 2022

Coach’s Roundtable: FOMC Fallout & Resilient Market Sectors

Every week, the coaches at Prosper Trading Academy offer their insight on some of the most challenging questions covering recent stock market developments, trading tips, and relevant news stories. This week, Scott Bauer, Charlie Moon, and Mike Shorr give their thoughts on why certain stock market sectors are staying resilient amid the FOMC fallout, and […]

Read Article

Read Similar Articles

May 8, 2024

What Is Delta In Options Trading?

Understanding the Delta of an option is crucial for both new and seasoned traders. It’s one of five specific calculations called “Greeks,” which help measure specific factors that could influence the price of an options contract. Delta is a metric that helps you gauge how much the value of an option contract is expected to […]

Read Article
January 4, 2024

Funder Trading Review – Best Prop Trading Firm in 2024?

If you are actively trading in the stock market in 2024, chances are you’ve heard a new buzzword flying around: Prop Trading, short for Proprietary Trading. Whether you’ve tried prop trading or not – or have even heard of it at all – its popularity is quickly growing because it provides everyday traders with a […]

Read Article
September 26, 2022

Coach’s Roundtable: FOMC Fallout & Resilient Market Sectors

Every week, the coaches at Prosper Trading Academy offer their insight on some of the most challenging questions covering recent stock market developments, trading tips, and relevant news stories. This week, Scott Bauer, Charlie Moon, and Mike Shorr give their thoughts on why certain stock market sectors are staying resilient amid the FOMC fallout, and […]

Read Article